Proof that the US had bad luck in the World Cup draw—and Nigeria had the best

After last Dec. 6′s World Cup draw, Ben Hoban, a fixed income trader at Oppenheimer & Co., put together a spreadsheet to statistically test a theory many American soccer fans arrived at intuitively: The United States Men’s National Team got hosed.
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FIFA, the global governing body for soccer, starts the World Cup with eight four-team mini-tourneys. The top two finishers from each group enter a round of single-elimination match-ups. To keep the finals interesting, FIFA makes sure the top eight teams in the world according to its rankings don’t wind up in the same group, then fill out the rest by randomly picking from different geographical regions. That is how the US has ended up in the same group as past World Cup champs Germany and Portugal, along with Ghana, a country that has knocked the US out of the last two tournaments. It would be quite an accomplishment for the US team to even make it into the elimination rounds.
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But what if the groups were set entirely by seed, similar to the way that the US college basketball tournament is structured each year? That’s what Hoban proposed to test. Using FIFA’s (already suspect) team rankings, Hoban compared how hard the average group game under the current draw would be to a draw governed by team rankings. It turns out that the average team the US and Ghana will play next summer is ranked 14 places higher than if they were “fairly” seeded. Belgium and Nigeria, on the other hand, will play teams that are ranked 10 places lower than they would play if the tournament were set up by rankings:
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Belgium is already a dark-horse pick to win the World Cup, and the team’s well-placed draw certainly clears its path to the Cup’s latter stages. As for the US, well, the odds were always long, and this year, any upsets will have to come early.
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India to host 2017 Under-17 FIFA World Cup

Football in India is set to receive a massive boost with FIFA deciding to make India the hosts for Under-17 World Cup in 2017
India to host 2017 Under-17 FIFA World Cup (© Corbis)
India will host the FIFA Under-17 World Cup football in 2017 with the world governing body on Thursday awarding the right to host the prestigious tournament to the country in its executive committee meeting in Salvador da Bahia in Brazil.
On a landmark day for the country's football, India beat other bidders South Africa, Ireland and Uzbekistan in the fight to host the 24-nation biennial mega event.
By virtue of being the host country, India will take part in the tournament for the first time in its history.
"Yes, India has won the right to host the 2017 Under-17 World Cup Football. It's official now," All India Football Federation general secretary Kushal Das said.
This will be the biggest ever football tournament India will be hosting and the first FIFA event in the country's history. India has hosted Asian Football Co federation's Youth Championships (Under-20) in 2006 and then the AFC Challenge Cup in 2008 but never any FIFA tournament.
The date of the tournament will be decided later. United Arab Emirates hosted the tournament this year while Chile will be the host country for the 2015 edition.
India, whose submission of final bid documents were initially in doubt due to delay in getting government guarantees on various subjects, will need six to eight host cities for the mega event. New Delhi, Kolkata, Mumbai, Chennai, Guwahati, Margao, Kochi and Bangalore could be in the running the host the matches.
From the very beginning, India's chances of winning the hosting right have been strong as it was FIFA which mooted the idea of the country hosting the mega event. The world body felt that if India can host the mega event, it could go a long way in lifting the profile of the game in the second most populous country in the world.
In a visit to the country, FIFA president Sepp Blatter and then his secretary Jerome Valcke, have supported India hosting the event, provided it builds the required infrastructure and facilities.
But, the journey has not been a smooth one as India's initial bid in January was rejected due to want of clear guarantees from the government on several subjects which the FIFA wants from a host country.
The bidding countries were required to submit written guarantees on tax exemptions for broadcasters and sponsors, foreign exchange remittances, security, transport and accommodation of players, and visa, among others.
The government supported the AIFF's bid from the very beginning but the sticking point had been the issue of the guarantees. India submitted the final bid document just a few days before the deadline of November 15.
While the expenses of hosting the event will be borne by FIFA and AIFF, the government has assured additional financial assistance.
"While the expenditure for upgradation of stadia (Rs 95 crore) will be provided as additional central assistance to the state governments, a sum of Rs 25 crore is kept as a contingency to ensure smooth conduct of the tournament," the sports ministry had said.
"AIFF and FIFA have agreed to bear the entire expenditure of hosting the tournament. The amounts required are to be raised through sponsorships and other commercial agreements," it had said.
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